I'm a Brian Burke fan. I like the kind of teams he chooses to ice - they compete, they are tough, they tend to play an open style of the game that's attractive to watch and they more often than not have a bona fide mean streak to them, a real edge. This Leafs team is a rabble and more and more, Burke's fingerprints are starting to appear at the scene of the crime.
The loss today against Philly was a good indication of what's wrong. Undisciplined penalties are not to be confused with a mean streak or an edge. High sticking a guy is not being tough. Scott Hartnell beatdown Jeff Finger. Dan Carcillo mocked them after not being able to engage with Colton Orr, who serves no other purpose than to engage the likes of Carcillo. Exelby did manage to give it to Carcillo and despite his antics, getting your ass whooped in a fight and running around "like a rock star" is still deflating to your team. However Exelby is what, the Leafs seventh or eighth defenceman on a pretty below average Leafs team is something and he was a Burke acquisition.
The Leafs do not compete at the drop of the puck - you cannot fall behind 2-0 in 22 games out of 43 and expect to make the playoffs. I think you can look at the players all you like, but the bottom line is the coaching staff are not getting them properly prepared. I know it is easy to blame the coach, but let's face it there are a few things in hockey that coaches have some influence over: special teams, goals against (team defence) and mental preparedness.
The Leafs are 14th in the NHL right now on the power play with 18.8% efficiency. Strangely enough, they finished the year last year in 16th with, 18.8% efficiency. No improvement there.
On penalty kill, Toronto are 30th with a woeful 70.5%! They are nearly 6% behind the 29th ranked team Edmonton! Boston, who are ranked #1 at 87.5% have been shorthanded more than the Leafs (152 to 149) and have given up less than half the same number of goals (19 to 44). That's just embarrassing. It gets worse, Toronto were 30th last year with a 74.7% efficiency rating - so they've gone significantly backwards.
They say your primary penalty killer is your goalie, well let's face it, Jonas Gustavsson looks like he'll be a good one and Toskala is slightly better than he was last year, so really, the Leafs have upgraded their primary penalty killer.
This leads into goals against. The Leafs were the worst in the NHL last year with a 3.49 GAA. At this point they are 29th with 3.36 GAA - so there is a slight improvement. I do think if Gustavsson had not had two heart issues and a groin problem, he'd be the clear starter in Toronto and that GAA would be lower, but only marginally.
Which ultimately brings us back to the causes of the problem, mental preparedness. I don't think anyone would argue that the Leafs defence corps this year on paper looks alot better than last year's. Yet, Beauchemin and Komisarik are a bit all over the place. Luke Schenn seems to have traded in for a new pair of cement skates and blinkers. Kaberle is doing his thing and Ian White has proven he is an NHL defenceman. So with Beauchemin and Komisarik the issue is one of two things, Brian Burke signed two guys for top four money who aren't really top four or Ron Wilson and staff can't seem to get the best out of them - again, our old friend mental preparedness. Luke Schenn is baffling, how did he lose his hockey sense over a summer or get slower? He needs to go to the Marlies and get some seasoning.
It all comes down to Brian Burke and he's been around long enough that things should be getting better and they are not. The penalty kill and the falling behind are in my books down to poor coaching. Killing penalties is about patience and applying pressure. They routinely end up running around, getting out of position and leaving open men for tap ins. You can teach NHLers and Wilson for two years has proven incapable of doing that.
So if your theory is to build a young team you need a coach who can teach - clearly, Wilson isn't doing the job. He's seemingly taught a lightweight offensive player in Nikolai Kulemin to forecheck and backcheck, but really, that's marginal stuff. Wilson and Burke are friends, but maybe Burke needs to clear the decks behind the bench, including Keith Acton who's been behind the bench as assistant in all five consecutive years of non-playoff hockey.
If Burke doesn't decide to bring in a coach who can get some consistent effort and have the team competing from the opening faceoff for sixty minutes, then we need to look at his recruitment. None of the college players he's signed seem good enough at this stage to crack one of the worst line-ups in the NHL. The leading scorer for the Marlies is tough guy, Andre Deveaux - that's not promising. Christian Hanson looks like he could be a second line player one day is scoring at almost a point per game, but Tyler Bozak has only 4 goals. Gustavsson in goal looks like he'll become a #1 in the NHL, so full marks to Burke there, but he's a restricted free-agent next season. The jury is out on Beauchemin and Komisarik - they are just inconsistent. Colton Orr is doing exactly what Colton Orr was signed for. Finally, Phil Kessel is in a slump and after tonight's game, Wilson dumped on him to the press without naming him. I don't think Kessel is the kind of player who can take that kind of heat in the Toronto media at this point in his career. If the guy takes it the wrong way and shuts the engines down, those two first round picks are going to look pretty expensive, especially if one ends up being Tyler Hall.
Personally, I think Burke has to can Wilson and his staff now. I can go into statistics and everything else, but the truth is, the team isn't improving. Your stud young defenceman is going backwards. Your star young forward is slumping, playing on a line with third liners at best and the coach dumps on him publicly - and he's promoted Rickard Wallin (of no goals) to the first line to play with him. Your veteran defencemen who everyone knows are solid players are playing silly undisciplined hockey. I don't know who you replace the coaching staff with, but its time for them to go. Toronto fans shouldn't have to wait until after the Olympics (to avoid making Ron Wilson look bad) for Brian Burke to start improving the hockey club right away!